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TU-3.6 Data Details

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TU-3.6 Reduce the initiation of the use of cigarettes by young adults aged 18 to 25 years

About the Data: National

Description of the data source, numerator, denominator, survey questions, and other relevant details about the national estimate.

Data Source: 
National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH); Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA)
Changed Since the Healthy People 2020 Launch: 
Yes
Measure: 
percent
Baseline (Year): 
8.4 (2008)
Target: 
6.4
Target-Setting Method: 
2 percentage point improvement
Target-Setting Method Justification: 
Because the baseline is very low, a standard target-setting method would result in statistically insignificant improvement. Therefore, the alternative method of a 2-percentage point improvement was selected.
Numerator: 

Number of persons aged 18 to 25 years who used cigarettes for the first time in the 12 months prior to the date of the interview

Denominator: 

Number of persons aged 18 to 25 who did not use cigarettes in their lifetime or who used cigarettes for the first time in the 12 months prior to the date of the interview

Comparable Healthy People 2010 Objective: 
Retained from HP2010 objective
Questions Used to Obtain the National Baseline Data: 

    From the 2008 National Survey on Drug Use and Health:

    [NUMERATOR:]

    How old were you the first time you smoked part or all of a cigarette?

    _______

Data Collection Frequency: 
Annual
Methodology Notes: 

    Initiation of cigarette use in the 12 months prior to the date of the interview was identified by examining the youth's interview date, birth date, and initiation date of first cigarette use.

About the Data: State

Description of the data source, numerator, denominator, survey questions, and other relevant details about the state-level data.

Data Source: 
National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH); Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA)
Measure: 
percent
Numerator: 

Number of persons aged 18 to 25 years who used cigarettes for the first time in the 12 months prior to the date of the interview

Denominator: 

Number of persons aged 18 to 25 who did not use cigarettes in their lifetime or who used cigarettes for the first time in the 12 months prior to the date of the interview

Questions Used to Obtain the State Data: 

      From the 2008 National Survey on Drug Use and Health:

      [NUMERATOR:]

      How old were you the first time you smoked part or all of a cigarette?

      _______

Data Collection Frequency: 
Annual
Methodology Notes: 

      Initiation of cigarette use in the 12 months prior to the date of the interview was identified by examining the youth's interview date, birth date, and initiation date of first cigarette use.

Revision History

Any change to the objective text, baseline, target, target-setting method or data source since the Healthy People 2020 launch.

Description of Changes Since the Healthy People 2020 Launch: 
During regular data collection and processing checks, errors were identified in the NSDUH data. These errors affected the data for Pennsylvania (2006-2010) and Maryland (2008-2009). These errors had minimal impact on the national estimates and no effect on direct estimates for the other 48 states and the District of Columbia. Comparing estimates for Pennsylvania, Maryland, the mid-Atlantic division, and the Northeast region were of most concern. As a result in 2013, the baseline value was revised from 8.3% to 8.4%. The target was adjusted from 6.3% to 6.4% to reflect the revised baseline using the original target-setting method.