|
 |
Obtaining Baseline
Measures, Setting
Targets, and
Measuring
Progress "What
gets measured, gets done."
Unknown |
| In
This Section
u Action
Checklist
uTips
uProcess in Action: Examples from the Field
Potential
Health Measures
Setting Targets for Objectives
Measuring
Progress
Evaluating
Data
Explaining
Data Changes
Existing
Data Systems
µ Hot Picks: Resources |
Data are the foundation of any effective
objectives-setting or benchmarking initiative. As shown in the previous section, the
collection and analysis of both quantitative and qualitative data are critical for setting
health priorities. Once a state identifies the priority health areas and potential
indicators, a baseline must be set (may require collecting new data) to determine where
the state or community currently is on a given problem or indicator and set the stage for
determining where it wants to be by the turn of the next decade (target). Setting targets
(determining the desired amount of change over a given time interval) is the next critical
step. Finally, monitoring progress toward meeting objectives, through collection and
analysis of tracking data, should be done on a scheduled basis. Regular reporting and
analysis of progress can help state planning groups and leaders refocus resources where
they are needed most. |
Action Checklist:
Obtaining Baseline Measures,
Setting Targets, and
Measuring Progress
(See a complete planning
and development checklist.)
|
- Consult with state experts on census,
age-adjustment, ICD-10, and other data changes
- Set criteria for evaluating existing public and
private data sources
- Inventory relevant public and private data sources
to measure objectives
- Review progress in achieving state Healthy People
2000 objectives
|
- Develop targets with appropriate baselines and
measures and finalize objectives
- Develop methods for measuring objectives without
existing data sources
- Gather and evaluate other data and information to
include in state plan
- Plan regular intervals to measure and track
achievement of targets
|
 |
Look
out your front door for help with your data needs; there are many able and willing
partners
State center for health statistics
Health information unit
Health department statisticians, epidemiologists,
and program directors
Health data analysts at the local, state, and
national levels
Other local and state government agencies
Academic partners
Address major data issues up front, and be
prepared to explain impact of data changes
- Age-adjustment to the year 2000 standard
- Census classification changes (stay tuned)
- New International Classification of Diseases, 10th
Edition (ICD-10)
- Need for and creation of new data sources
- Standards for the quality of information sources
- Analysis of trends
- Year 2000 computer problems
- Measurement of incidence/prevalence of health
problem
Use a variety of sources for baseline measures
- Healthy People 2010 draft
- National, state, and local surveys, surveillance
systems, and registries
- Private community partners with their own
databases (e.g., hospitals)
Set challenging, yet realistic, targets for
your objectives
- Identify lessons learned from the year 2000
targets (e.g., how many were too ambitious or not ambitious enough, how many had to be
reset and why)
- Use previously identified statewide performance
measurements
- Use existing state agency or program-specific
benchmarks
- Set targets to eliminate population health status
disparities
- Use applicable national Healthy People 2010
targets
- Use other statistical methods (see page 93)
Plan your approach to track the progress of
your objectives
- Maintain consistency of terms and data definitions
- Produce progress reports focusing on: racial and
ethnic populations, geographic areas, stages of life, and/or priority issues
- Incorporate objectives in regular reports (e.g.,
HMO report cards)
- Plan an annual Healthy People 2010 update
- Coordinate press releases with other reports and
updates
|
|
Process in Action:
Examples from the Field
Below are examples of how the nation and states
addressed data issues.
From the National Initiative
Obtaining Baseline Measures and Identifying Data Needs
Monitoring data
In 1991, the Health Promotion Statistics Division was
established at CDC/National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) to monitor Healthy People
2000. Staff in this unit coordinate with the HHS lead agencies in collecting and reporting
on the national Healthy People objectives. This division produces the Healthy People
2000 Review, available at: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/pubs/pubd/hp2k/hp2k.htm.
Developing new data
Healthy People 2000 spearheaded the development of new
data throughout the past decade. In 1991, nearly one-third of the national objectives had
no baselines when they were initially set. By 1998, 82 of these 91 objectives had
measures. These include areas such as school health, health provider activities, and
worksite health.
Selecting indicators, setting targets, and tracking
progress
Promoting continuity between plans
The initial draft of Healthy People 2010 disseminated for
public comment continued many of the objectives from Healthy People 2000. In fact, 138
objectives were maintained from Healthy People 2000, while 96 objectives were revised and
297 new objectives were introduced. The continuity between the plans helps to confirm
trends and promotes long-term analysis of the same subjects.
Setting targets that are challenging, but necessary
The Healthy People 2010 draft proposed a goal of
eliminating health disparities resulting in one target for all population groups to
achieve. In fact, for behaviors, risk factors, and services objectives, the target is
better than the best population group. For most outcomes, national averages were used with
explicit recognition that all groups should improve.
Healthy People 2000 Newsletters: Statistical Notes and Statistics
and Surveillance
Two NCHS newsletters address technical issues related to
assessing progress toward the year 2000 objectives. Visit: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products/pubs/pubd/hp2k/hp2k.htm.
From State Initiatives
Obtaining Baseline Measures and Identifying Data Needs
Assessing data and data needs in order to set objectives
The Connecticut Department of Public
Health responded to the year 2000 national initiative with a coordinated, internal
data-oriented review of Healthy People 2000 and development of state objectives. In
1992, the Department of Public Health produced Healthy Connecticut 2000 Baseline
Assessment Report, as a framework for program planning, evaluation, policy
development, and assurance activities. The report originally contained 112 objectives in
18 priority areas that focused on health status and risk reduction. The Department of
Public Health updated the Baseline Assessment Report in 1997 with 42 service and
protection objectives. The objectives set targets for the services needed to address the
health status and risk reduction objectives.
In the District of Columbia, the State
Center for Health Statistics was given the task of working with Program Administrators and
staff to produce a comprehensive review of progress from 1993 to 1998 toward meeting
Healthy Residents Year 2000 Objectives. In January of 1999, the Progress Review was
completed and released. Following the evaluation and documentation of progress, program
administrators and staff working with their Advisory Board members, community-based
contacts, and collaborating federal agencies developed the draft year 2010 objectives for
both internal review and public comment.
In Ohio, as a part of Ohios Public
Health Plan, the Data System Work Group assisted the Healthy People Ohio (HP Ohio) Work
Group by preparing a Data Inventory. The inventory specifies the data source and whether
data are available for each HP Ohio objective. The Data System Work Group also identified
baseline data for some of the HP Ohio objectives, and made recommendations for data
collection for objectives with no data source. The HP Ohio objectives are included in the
Ohio Department of Healths data warehouse.
The Great Lakes Inter-Tribal Council of
Wisconsin and the Inter-Tribal Council of Michigan serve Tribes in both states
through a Cooperative Agreement Epidemiology Project (The EpiCenter). The EpiCenter
developed Tribal-specific community health profiles based on health indicators by making
use of Indian Health Services Base Line Measures, a needs assessment, and Healthy
People 2000. Data in the community health profiles serve as baseline measures and
descriptions of changing health status for the Tribes in the project service area.
In South Dakota, data activities begin at
the program level with programs following the grant proposal/reporting process for
developing baseline measures, setting targets, and determining methods for progress
measurement. Many grants, such as the Maternal and Child Health Block Grant, use Healthy
People performance measures, grant-specific performance measures, and state-specific
performance measures.
In 1995 Minnesota developed objectives to
improve its data systems' ability to measure progress toward the year 2000 objectives.
Among these objectives, Minnesota sought to collect and disseminate data from state
agencies, local agencies, health plan companies, and other health care providers. The
state planned to identify significant gaps in disease prevention and health promotion
data, as well as establish methods to collect and analyze health status indicators.
Identifying and communicating data sources and data needs
specific to the measurement of each objective in the plan
Healthy New Jersey 2000 details state
data needs for each goal and corresponding objectives. New Jersey expanded its list of
relevant data needs beyond health status objectives. As examples, the plan calls for
better patient socioeconomic and clinical outcome data, standardized definitions of
certain conditions, evaluation data on prevention interventions, and economic impact data.
In Texas, through a grant from the CDC,
the department received staff assistance to develop a series of on-going reports tracking
state progress according to the 18 Health Status Indicators recommended by CDC in
conjunction with the Healthy People 2000 initiative. The preparation of this series of
reports was institutionalized within the department and is continued as an important
component of its ongoing assessment of the states health status.
The Illinois Project for Local Assessment
of Needs (IPLAN) was developed to assist local health departments to complete community
health needs assessments. The system utilizes Healthy People 2000 and Healthy People 2010
objectives as reference points, where applicable, and provides over 100 state- and
county-level population-based health indicators. For some indicators, community-level data
are available. Originally designed as a stand-alone PC-based data system, the current
IPLAN system is available through the Internet and can be viewed at: http://163.191.194.35.
Selecting indicators, setting targets, and tracking
progress
Selecting indicators based upon previously identified performance measures or
benchmarks
The Colorado Statewide Outcomes/Indicators
Task Force established a defined set of measures to rate the performance of the Colorado
Department of Public Health and Environment (CDPHE). Performance was measured in terms of
outcomes (e.g., heart disease death rates), rather than processes (e.g., number of adults
who have had their blood pressure checked). Task Force members represented public health
agencies, managed care organizations, academia, and philanthropic organizations.
Population-based objectives were developed to reflect the Healthy People 2000 national
plan and the CDPHE budget requests.
Rhode Islands Minority Health
Information Improvement Project aimed to strengthen the states ability to assess and
respond to the health needs of its diverse population. The project developed methods to
use existing data sources to measure progress toward year 2000 objectives for racial and
ethnic minority populations. Through a collaboration between the Rhode Island Health
Department and the Minority Health Advisory Committee, the project published a minority
health status sourcebook that established baselines and identified data gaps for minority
populations.
To provide continuity with earlier statewide
health improvement plans, Washington based its primary health indicators on
existing "performance measures" in six public health areas. Each indicator has a
primary measure (e.g., the mortality rate) followed by other measures of impact and burden
(e.g., hospitalization, years of potential life lost). To assist a wide range of audiences
engaged in local planning and implementation, Washington compiled for each health area
existing data on population risk factors, protective factors, and intervention
effectiveness from research and practice.
The Oregon Legislature directed all state
agencies to develop performance measures with ties to the states indicators of well
being, called Oregon Benchmarks. From 1992 through 1997, Oregon used funding from a CDC
grant (Assessment Initiative) to compile valid existing data and measure their benchmarks.
These results were submitted to the legislature in an annual progress report.
Tracking and communicating progress toward objectives
For its 1996 and 1999 updates to the states
year 2000 objectives, New Jerseys statistical and program staff assessed
progress and analyzed trends. Based on their trend analysis, staff categorized each
objective and sub-objective as "likely to be achieved," "unlikely to be
achieved," or "uncertain."
Washington analyzed data from local,
county, state, and national sources in its 1996 statewide assessment of health status,
health risks, and health systems. The state used a standard format to present data on its
progress in each priority area, including analyses of time trends, geographical variation
(including numerous objectives tracked at the county level), variation by age, gender,
race, ethnicity, income, and education (where available).
California created individual county
health status profile tables, containing 26 Healthy People health status indicators. Data
for the profiles are provided by the state Center for Health Statistics, the Division of
Communicable Disease Control, and the Office of AIDS of the Department of Health Services.
The Demographic Research Unit and the Census Data Center of the Department of Finance
provided the 1990 census data and the 1996 race/ethnic population estimates, by county,
with age and sex detail.
In addition, as part of its strategy for
addressing data needs, California has the Health Information and Strategic Planning
Division (HISP) of the California Department of Health Services (DHS). This division takes
the lead in making the DHS health data systems more integrated, accessible, and useful for
policy development and program management. It also develops uniform health data systems to
promote the collection of information on health status outcomes, provides technical
assistance and support to local health agencies, organizes strategic planning and special
initiatives in support of DHS priorities, and builds strong relationships with public
health organizations and schools of public health.
In 1992 the Michigan Department of
Community Health (MDCH) established a strategic planning process, which linked state-level
health assessment to the identification of priorities, goals, objectives, and strategies
to improve health. Healthy Michigan 2000, issued in 1993, provided a guide for
improving health by the year 2000. The foundation of the plan was an assessment of not
only health status and health system trends, but also the economic, demographic, public
perception, and management trends likely to influence the publics health. In 1996 Healthy
Michigan 2000, Second Edition, re-affirmed the goals documented in the first edition
and streamlined the objectives to reflect the areas most in need of significant emphasis
or change in order to reach the goals.
Between 1992 and 1996, MDCH created an
agency-wide Surveillance and Data Strategic Work Group to promote greater use of
surveillance data in policy and program decision-making and to determine the data needed
to monitor progress toward reaching Healthy Michigan 2000 objectives. The work group
drafted a "Health Surveillance Plan" to enhance the capacity for the collection,
analysis, interpretation and dissemination of information on health status, health risks,
and health systems. The "Health Surveillance Plan" established variables for
monitoring objectives contained in Healthy Michigan 2000, identified gaps in data and
potential problems, and suggested possibility for new and enhanced data sources. The plan
also recommended a set of critical health indicators as a means of communicating the
overall health of the states population. Based on the "Health Surveillance
Plan," the state initiated annual reporting on selected critical health indicators in
1996. Michigan Critical Health Indicators are linked to both key Healthy
Michigan 2000 objectives and related interventions.
In Utah the governors Office of
Planning and Budget coordinates data collection and monitoring of performance measures for
all state agencies, as specified in the Utah Tomorrow strategic plan. The
governors office maintains performance measurement data in their information base.
In 1995, with funding from the CDC, the Utah Department of Health, Office of Public Health
Data published data to track the 18 Healthy People 2000 health status indicators by local
health department district.
On July 1, 1993, the North Dakota
Department of Health began to assess the states progress toward meeting the year
2000 objectives. A point-in-time study was conducted from July 1, 1993, through March 11,
1994. The report was published in June 1994 and helped the state health department and
local communities to identify high priority needs. Some of the findings included: 22
percent of the Healthy People 2000 objectives had been met, 23 percent were unmet, 5
percent were moving away from the HP 2000 target, and 49 percent had no data available.
Alaska completed two Healthy Alaskans
2000 data reports. One report was released in March 1997 which updated the health
status objectives for Healthy People 2000 objective 22.1. The second report was
released in December 1998 which was a complete update on all Healthy Alaskans 2000
objectives. The December 1998 report also emphasizes that data collection is the first
step in public health planning and an interim step in developing a comprehensive review of
Healthy Alaskans 2000.
Percentage of State Year 2000
Objectives/Sub-Objectives
Tracked Using States' Identified "Top Five" Data Sources
Total
Objectives/Sub-Objectives Using "Top Five" Sources = 3,130
(N=36)

Note: Each state was asked
to identify its "top five" data sources used for tracking objectives and to
identify the number of objectives/sub-objectives tracked by those five data sources. Data
sources not appearing in a state's "top five" list were captured in the
"other" category.
Source: Public Health Foundation. Measuring
Health Objectives and Indicators: 1997 State and Local Capacity Survey. March 1998.
Extent that Availability of Baseline Data
Influenced the
Selection of States' Year 2000 Objectives/Sub-Objectives

Source: Public Health
Foundation. Measuring Health Objectives and Indicators: 1997 State and Local Capacity
Survey. March 1998.
Number of States that Provided Assistance
to Local Health Departments for Year 2000 Initiatives, by Type of Assistance

Note: States may have been
counted more than once because some provided more than one type of assistance.
Source: Public Health Foundation. Measuring
Health Objectives and Indicators: 1997 State and Local Capacity Survey. March 1998.
|
Potential Health
Measures
The following is intended to assist
you in identifying different types of measures for your state's health plan. It is not
meant to be an exhaustive list, but provides types of measures many communities have found
beneficial in developing and monitoring health objectives. |
COMMUNITY MANAGEMENT
Interagency networks
Open city council meetings
Planning - economic development, social planning
council
Policy environment
Readiness - fire escape plans, CPR training,
retirement preparation
Representation in community groups
Responsiveness - emergencies
Volunteerism level
Voter turnout
DEMOGRAPHICS
Age distribution
Education levels
Median income
Occupations
Population stability
Poverty levels
Unemployment rates
GROWTH AND NUTRITION
Breastfeeding prevalence
Developmentally delayed children
Fruit and vegetable consumption
Disability prevalence
Enrollment in entitlement programs
Elders who participate in fitness programs
Life expectancy
Self-reported health status
Women, Infants and Children (WIC)
HEALTH BEHAVIORS
Exercise levels
Overweight prevalence
Tobacco use
Alcohol use/abuse prevalence
Substance abuse treatment need
HEALTH CARE RESOURCES
Insurance status
Medicaid/Medicare providers
Managed care penetration
HEALTH CARE UTILIZATION
Hospital use rate
Preventable hospitalizations rate
HEALTH OF EMPLOYEES
Sick days used
Workmens compensation claims
Worksite injuries and deaths
HEALTH OF MOTHERS AND CHILDREN
Contraceptive services and need
Low birth weight babies percent
Prematurity prevalence
Prenatal care percent
Teen parenting prevalence |
MORBIDITY
Dental caries among children
Communicable diseases rates
Vaccine preventable disease/deaths
Mental illness prevalence
MORTALITY
Infant mortality - neonatal, post-neonatal
Major killers - CHD, cancer, stroke, homicide, suicide, motor vehicle injuries,
unintentional
injuries, diabetes, COPD, AIDS
Overall and age-level
PHYSICAL ENVIRONMENT
Environmental conditions - air, water, recreational
water site quality
Environmental hazards
Epidemics
Household smoke detectors
Households on water and sewage treatment systems,
septic systems
Household fuel efficiency
Household recycling
Industrial waste recycling
Lead paint housing vulnerability, soil
Natural disasters
Nuisance index - noise, dirt, odors
PREVENTIVE MEASURES
Blood pressure checks
Childhood immunization rates
Cholesterol checks
Colon cancer screening prevalence
Diabetic eye and foot exams
Flu vaccine use among the elderly
Mammography screening prevalence
Pap test prevalence
SOCIAL SUPPORT MEASURES
Bike path mileage
Recreation center use
Child abuse investigations
Domestic violence services
Family and friend support networks
Religious center use
Law enforcement
Neighborhood Watch Programs
Self help group participation
Suicide prevention services
Transportation services |
| Source: Empowerment Zone/Enterprise Community Health
Benchmarking Project. Public Health Foundation, 1998-1999. |
Setting Targets for Objectives
One of the central issues many states struggle
with when developing objectives is how to set achievable, realistic targets for outcome,
performance, and process objectives. The guidance below focuses primarily on setting
targets for health outcomes and performance.
- Using an absolute percent decline
Some Healthy People 2000
objectives used an absolute percent decline based on "best guesses"/expert
opinion. Calculations can be made based on the percent of the target population reached
and change expected. For example, a decline in mortality of 30 percent expected in
two-thirds of the women with breast cancer.
[Start Amount x (1 – .30) x 2/3] + [Start Amount x
1/3] = End Amount
Example: Breast cancer rate of 33/100,000
[33 x (1 - .30) x 2/3] + [33 x 1/3] = 15.4 + 11 =
26.4/100,000
You can set targets by comparing your
community to others like it. Age and poverty distribution and population size and
diversity may define peer communities. The following may be used to describe ones
peers: typical values for a specific objective, means or medians, or the variation among
peers. Visit the Public Health Foundation web site for more information on the Community
Health Status Indicators Project, which is utilizing this strategy:
- Using the pared-mean method to set data driven benchmarks
The pared-mean method determines
"top performance." This is defined as the best outcome accomplished for at least
10 percent of the population.
Steps to Compute the Pared-Mean
(The article cited below uses an example of mammography screenings)
- Rank order providers or other units of analysis (e.g., health departments,
jurisdictions) in descending order of adherence. In this example, metropolitan statistical
areas were ranked according to average mammography rates.
- Order providers in descending sequence until you have a subset that equals or exceeds 10
percent of all patients in the survey. In this example it was 10 percent of women over the
age of 50 in the survey.
- Calculate the benchmark based on the subset of units analyzed, dividing the total number
of patients in the subset receiving the recommended intervention (e.g., mammography
screenings by the population).
In the example of the mammography screenings, a
benchmark rate of 71 percent was found, exceeding the Healthy People 2000 target of 60
percent.
Data sources to use for the pared-mean method
include vital statistics and the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System.
This method is not feasible for all Healthy
People objectives. Data may not be available for some objectives, or the nature of the
objective may not lend itself to using the pared-mean method. For example, access to
preventive care should be available for 100 percent of the population, regardless of what
the data show.
Source: Allison J., Kiefe C.I.,
Weissman N.W. "Can Data-Driven Benchmarks be Used to Set the Goals of Healthy People
2010?" American Journal of Public Health, 89(1):61-5, 1999.
- What if areas in the state have already achieved or surpassed the national Healthy
People target for an objective?
You can calculate a new, higher state
target that will be challenging for local areas that have achieved or surpassed the
national target. You also may wish to note in your plan the jurisdictions that have not
achieved your previous targets and redouble your efforts in these areas as well as set
equally ambitious targets for year 2010.
- Setting targets for process objectives
Many process objectives, particularly those
that pertain to infrastructure (data systems, workforce, and research), are new this year
in Healthy People 2010. These should be examined carefully by states to determine their
applicability to the state plan. Setting measurable targets for process objectives
requires judgment and is not an exact science. To set process targets, planners should
consider the current status (baseline) of the state's public health infrastructure, seek
stakeholder input on the desired level of improvement, and make a realistic assessment of
what can be accomplished given the state's experience, resources, political opportunities,
and partner commitment.
- Using performance measures
"Performance measurement responds to
the need to ensure efficient and effective use of resources, particularly financial
resources. It links the use of resources with health improvements and the accountability
of individual partners." (Prevention Report, Winter 1997) This is of
particular importance since the inception of the Government Performance and Results Act of
1993, which aims at holding Federal agencies accountable for spending public dollars. This
extends to states, local jurisdictions, and other organizations that receive Federal
funding. Performance measures can be incorporated into or based upon Healthy People
objectives. Please see the following pages for a detailed description of setting
performance measures.
Setting Performance Measures Step by Step
These examples are based on the State of
Marylands Healthy Maryland 2000 document
| STEP |
EXAMPLE |
| 1. Relate the
performance measure to an important national, state, or local health priority area. |
Maryland has undertaken work
related to the national health objective to reduce coronary heart disease deaths to no
more than 100 per 100,000 people. |
| 2. Measure a result
that can be achieved in 5 years or less. |
Maryland has identified an
achievable result that is linked scientifically to the Healthy People 2000 Heart Disease
and Stroke priority area: Increase the proportion of people who engage in light to
moderate physical activity to at least 30 percent of the population. |
| 3. Ensure that the
result is meaningful to a wide audience of partners. |
Target partners are essentially
all Marylanders, with an emphasis on school-age children and people at high risk for
diseases and medical conditions associated with physical inactivity (for example, persons
with hypertension and high cholesterol). Partners include principals, teachers, students,
parent-teacher associations, the state education department, state and local health and
recreational agencies, public health and medical professionals, and others. |
| 4. Define the strategy
that will be used to reach a result. |
The state of Maryland has
selected four strategies:
- Implement a combination of strategies that include consumer
education and skills development, health assessment, professional training, and
environmental changes.
- Reinforce risk reduction messages and promote programs and
policies in schools, work-sites, faith communities, and other settings.
- Focus on youth and families so that healthy habits are
started early and nurtured in the family.
- Use a health promotion approach tailored to reach diverse
ethnic and socioeconomic groups.
|
| 5. Define the accountable entities. |
The accountable entities depend upon the strategies selected
and the way in which a particular community is organized. For Marylands strategy 2,
these entities include schools, work sites, and community centers. For example, the Cecil
County Public Schools have agreed to be accountable for specific tasks related to strategy
2 and are working in partnership with the Cecil County Health Department to offer healthy
lifestyle programs to elementary school children. The programs, such as the Heart
Challenge Course, bring teachers and food service workers together to promote healthy
eating habits and physical fitness through educational games, classroom projects, and
other activities that appeal to children. |
| 6. Draft measures that meet statistical
requirements of validity and reliability and have an existing source of data. |
In consultation with biostatisticians and epidemiologists,
organizations can draft measures that are statistically sound. One of Marylands
performance measures might be "Increase to 30 percent the proportion of students in
each Cecil County elementary school who engage in light to moderate physical activity for
30 minutes or longer every school day by participating in school physical fitness
activities." |
Source: U.S. Department
of Health and Human Services. "Improving the Nations Health with
Performance Measurement." Prevention Report, 12(1):1-5, 1997. http://odphp.osophs.dhhs.gov/pubs/prevrpt/97winfoc.HTM.
|
Measuring Progress
Annual Percent Change
This measure can be used to track whether progress is on course and determine if the
2010 objectives will be reached. It provides the amount of decline each year that is
needed to reach the target.
Formula:
{(Target rate ¸ Baseline rate) [1/ (Target year)]
- 1} x 100 = Annual Percent Change
Example
Data Showing Percentage Change Needed to Reach Healthy People Goal |
| |
Year |
Rate |
| Target |
2010 |
7/1,000 |
| Baseline |
2000 |
10/1,000 |
Calculations:
(Target rate ¸Baseline rate) = 7/1,000
¸ 10/1,000 = 0.700
[1/ (Target year – Baseline year)] =1/ (2010 – 2000) = 1/10 = 0.100
(Target rate ¸
Baseline rate) [1/ (Target year – Baseline year)] = 0.70 0.10
= 0.965
{(Target rate ¸ Baseline rate) [1/ (Target
year – Baseline year)] – 1} = 0.965
1 = -0.035
{(Target rate ¸
Baseline rate) [1/ (Target year – Baseline year)] – 1} x 100 = 0.035 x100 = -3.5%
A decline of 3.5% per year between year 2000 and
2010 is needed to reach the target.
Measuring Progress
This equation is used in measuring progress for each
objective, adapted from Healthy People 2000 Midcourse Review and 1995 Revisions:
(Current Status
Baseline)
(Year 2000 Target Baseline) |
x 100 |
= Percentage of Target
Achieved |
Note: You will get a negative
percentage when the baseline has gotten worse.
|
Evaluating Data:
Data Issues and Uses
What are some general data issues that you may want to
address?
- Data Quality When using new data
collection systems, be sure to check for standardization of data collection and recording,
data management and analysis, and structure and content of questions.
- Limitations of Self-Reported Data
When relying on self-reported data such as income level, exercise frequency, or health
screening behaviors, be aware of self-reporting bias. Measures will vary based on the type
of data collection alone (written survey, telephone interview, direct observation, etc.).
- Data Validity and Reliability
Revision of survey questions and the development of new data collection systems will
require careful validity and reliability testing. In monitoring efforts, the validity of
responses over time may also become an issue.
- Periodicity of Data Availability
Data collection efforts are not always performed on a regular basis. Take this into
consideration when planning your dissemination and communication efforts.
- Timeliness of Data Availability As
previously stated, this is not always possible, but still important. It helps to be able
to regularly identify progress and areas that may need additional efforts.
- Representativeness of Data Special
considerations need to be made when collecting data for specific population groups or
local communities. Do responses collected represent those individuals of interest?
- Small-Area Analysis Take into
account the limitations of applying national data to the state, local and community
levels. This pertains to using small numbers in ones statistics. Poisson
distribution, non-parametric statistics, and standardized mortality rates/ratios (SMRs)
may be appropriate methodologies.
Source: Committee on Leading Health
Indicators for Healthy People 2010. Leading Health Indicators for Healthy People 2010:
Final Report. Division of Health Promotion and Disease Prevention, Institute of
Medicine, 1999.
Evaluate your existing data collection methods using these
guidelines:
ü
Simplicity
ü
Sensitivity
ü
Timeliness
|
ü
Predictive value positive
ü
Flexibility
|
ü
Representativeness
ü
Acceptability
|
Source:
Klaucke D.N., Buehler J.W., Thacker S.B., Parrish R.G., Trowbridge F.L., Berkelman R.L.,
and the Surveillance Coordination Group. "Guidelines for Evaluating Surveillance
Systems." Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report. 37(S-5):1-18, 1988.
Characteristics of High-Quality and Effective Data for Policy Making
| Technical
Characteristics |
| Content |
Cover one or more major
health policy or program concerns with sufficient detail to clarify the implications of
alternative policy choices. |
| Currency
(Timeliness) |
Appear on a
sufficiently timely basis and with the appropriate frequencies that they provide a
relatively current profile and can be credibly used. |
| Completeness |
Achieve sufficiently
high submissions, reporting, or response rates and item completion, to limit biases
leading to distorted conclusions. |
| Reliability |
Provide classification
and coding consistency to enhance interpretability and reduce confusion. |
| Analytical
Flexibility |
Support both routine
and special analyses, particularly on an interactive or real-time basis. |
| Strategic
Characteristics |
| Cross-System Flexibility |
Allow users to merge, compare,
or jointly use data from complementary systems; include compatible and consistent variable
definitions, coding categories, and a linkage mechanism. |
| Adaptability |
Allow data content and/or
reporting to be readily modified to address changing needs. |
| Accessibility |
Provide clear reports to a
non-technical audience; make available diverse reports or information tailored to
different decision needs or users, and provide access to public-use data sets at a
reasonable cost so they can be independently analyzed. |
| Translation and Policy
Applicability |
Effectively translate technical
data to policy-relevant information. |
| Dissemination |
Accurately and fully inform
potential users or decision-makers about the resources and how to access
them effectively. |
Source: Feldman P., Gold
M., Chu K. "Enhancing Information for State Health Policy." Health Affairs,
13(3):238, 1994. |
Explaining Data Changes
Age-Adjusting to Year 2000:
State and Local Age-Adjusted Rates Will Increase
Explanation of Age-Adjustment: Age-standardization
is a practice of adjusting for differing age composition of populations.
Age-standardization is useful when comparing disease outcomes across time, place, or
populations. Prior to 1998, the conventional standard population used for
adjustment was the U.S.1940 population. As of 1998, the National Center for Health
Statistics (NCHS) will use and has recommended that others use the year 2000 standard.
[The year 2000 standard resembles the current population structure and for many geographic
areas is close to the crude (unadjusted) disease rate.] Healthy People 2010 uses
the year 2000 adjusted rate for baselines and target rates.
Impact of Changes:
For most disease
categories, especially where disease rates increase with increasing age, year 2000
adjusted rates will increase substantially. Diseases that occur among young people, such
as homicide, will decline while others which affect the age extremes will stay the same
using the new age standard. Users of the year 2000 standardized rates will not be able to
readily compare them to prior years statistics that were calculated using the 1940
standard.
Resources:
The year 2000 population
standard and a brief explanation of the age-adjustment issues are found at
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/statnt/statnt06rv.pdf
and in the NCHS publication, NVSS (Vol 47, number 3, 10/7/98). The web site also provides
examples of how this change affects the size of rates, relative to rates adjusted to the
former 1940 standard.
Changing from ICD-9 to ICD-10:
Comparability of Data Will Be Impacted
Explanation of Disease Classification:
International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes are used for vital statistics,
hospital discharge, and a variety of other health services data sets (including data sets
used to measure Healthy People objectives). The World Health Organization maintains and
revises disease codes used widely in the health care field. Revisions are necessary when
new diseases are identified and old diseases redefined.
Impact of Changes:
A new 10th edition
(ICD-10) has been released and will produce non-comparability between some statistics
aggregated based on ICD-9 and the new ICD-10. Users are cautioned that some differences in
disease statistics calculated using one version and then the other may reflect merely the
change in rubrics. As causes of mortality, Alzheimer's Disease is expected to increase and
pneumonia decrease as a result of the change in coding.
Resources: For more information about the
ICD, revisions, training resources, and publications, visit the following site: http://www.who.int/whosis/icd10/. See
also the National Center for Health Statistics:
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/20manual.pdf
Race and Ethnicity for Year 2000 Census:
Individuals Can Select More than One Race
Explanation of Race and Ethnicity Data
Standards: Explanation of Race and Ethnicity Data
Standards: The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) issues standards for data
collection, including race and ethnicity data. These standards have been developed to
provide a common language for the collection and use of data on race and ethnicity by
Federal agencies. To be consistent with national race and ethnicity data, many
researchers, businesses, and other units of government may also use the standards.
Impact of Changes: Impact of Changes:
The year 2000 U.S.
Census will use new Office of Management and Budget (OMB) categories for capturing the
self-report of race by Americans. In addition to being able to choose among five race
categories and Hispanic ethnicity, persons who report being of more than one racial group
may specify their racial heritage and be counted in a "more than one race"
category. Interpretation of race distribution will be complicated by the fact that persons
reporting any one race can be included in the "more than one race" category. For
example, persons who report white and Asian background will be counted in each category or
in a broad group called "multiracial."
Resources: A discussion of the change and
concepts of race and ethnicity are found at the American Anthropological Association site:
http://www.aaanet.org/gvt/ombdraft.htm
and http://www.ameasite.org/omb15v97.html. |
Existing Data Systems
Data are the foundation of Healthy People objectives. While the national Healthy People
initiative has stimulated the development of new data systems, there are still areas where
information is missing. These areas constitute the developmental objectives, where efforts
are being made over the next decade to measure these indicators. In the meantime, how do
you manage the data presently available? There are approximately 200 data sources used to
track the national Healthy People objectives.
Health
and Human Services Data Systems and Sets
Most Critical to Monitoring Healthy People
ü Vital Statistics*
ü
National Health and Nutrition Examination
Survey***
ü
National Health Interview Survey***
ü
Youth Risk Behavior Survey***
ü
National Survey of Worksite Health Promotion
Activities
ü
National Survey of Family Growth
ü
Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System**
ü
National Household Survey on Drug Abuse***
ü
National Hospital Discharge Survey***
ü
National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System*
ü
Census Data*
KEY:
* Measures are available at state and local
levels
** Provides state and possibly local measures
*** May provide state or local measures
|
Source:
Leading Indicators for Healthy People 2010. A Report from the HHS Working Group on
Sentinel Objectives. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, March 1998. http://odphp.osophs.dhhs.gov/pubs/LeadingIndicators/ldgindtoc.html
|
 |
Resources for
Obtaining Baseline
Measures, Setting
Targets, and Measuring
Progress |
µ Committee
of Leading Health Indicators for Healthy People 2010.
Leading Health Indicators for
Healthy People 2010: Final Report.
Division of Health Promotion and Disease
Prevention, Institute of Medicine, 1999.
This report includes the criteria for selection of leading health indicators, as
well as proposed indicator sets for Healthy People 2010. Available at: http://www.nap.edu/catalog/9436.html
µ
ICD-10 The following sites provide information on the ICD-10.
http:// www.healthmkt.com
http://www.cdc.gov/nchswww/about/otheract/icd9/abticd10.htm
µ
National Association of Health Data Organizations.
http://www.nahdo.org
The National Association of Health Data Organizations (NAHDO) is the
"premier national health information organization dedicated to improving health care
through the collection, analysis, dissemination, and use of health care data."
µ
National Center for Health Statistics.
http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/products.htm
Publications and information products with links to Healthy People 2000
Reviews (in PDF format). The home page for the National Center for Health Statistics is
available at http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/.
µ
Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report.
http://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/
"The Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) Series is
prepared by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The data in the weekly
MMWR are provisional, based on weekly reports to CDC by state health departments."
µ
U.S. Census Bureau. http://www.census.gov
µ
Y2K The following web sites provided information and software on Y2K.
http://www.2000tools.com/index.html
http://www.millenniumquest.com
http://www.healthpro2000.com
http://www.cdc.gov/epo/mmwr/preview/mmwrhtml/mm4817a5.htm
http://www.cdc.gov/y2k/y2khome.htm
http://www.y2k.gov
Please see Appendix A for other resources for obtaining baseline measures,
setting targets, and measuring progress. |
| Return
to Table of Contents |
|